HNL — Croatia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.39) 1.86 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.2% 21.5% 64.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.5%
0 - 2
13.5%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 7.8% 14.5% 13.5% 8.4% 3.9% 1.5%
1 5.4% 10.0% 9.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack36%82%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%17%33%83%50%67%
Draws33%33%33%0%17%8%
Loses17%50%33%17%33%25%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWLWD • Dinamo Zagreb: WWWWDLWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total751215924
GF avg1.20.81.02.51.52.0
GA total79165510
GA avg1.21.51.30.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%92%58%
1.525%42%75%25%
2.50%17%25%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Wins14
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-33-01-22-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961Dinamo Zagreb
Form47%53%
Att31%69%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h29%71%
Goals32%68%
Total37.3%62.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dinamo Zagreb

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.17 @ Pinnacle
Away1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 0.69 (league 1.39), Dinamo Zagreb = 1.86 (league 0.97)

Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 7.8% 14.5% 13.5% 8.4% 3.9% 1.5%
1 5.4% 10.0% 9.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.9% 3.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 64.1%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1