HNL — Croatia
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Maksimir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.44) 1.44 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 22.7% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
NK Slaven Belupo
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 3.8% 5.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.9% 10.0% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.6% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack56%78%
Defense0%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%17%33%50%33%42%
Draws17%50%33%33%0%17%
Loses33%33%33%17%67%42%

Form: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDLL • NK Slaven Belupo: LWLLWWLLWDWD

League goals

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
GF total77149716
GF avg1.21.21.21.51.21.3
GA total7111861319
GA avg1.21.81.51.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%83%75%92%
1.525%42%42%42%
2.50%17%17%17%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
Wins12
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-24-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NK Slaven Belupo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.84 (league 1.44), NK Slaven Belupo = 1.44 (league 1.00)

NK Slaven Belupo
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 3.8% 5.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.9% 10.0% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.6% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 30.0%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1