HNL — Croatia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 17:15 • Gradski stadion Varazdin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.39) 1.86 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 22.5% 47.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 3.8% 7.1% 6.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.3% 10.0% 9.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.8% 3.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack55%82%
Defense45%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Varazdin HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%33%17%25%
Draws50%17%33%33%50%42%
Loses17%50%33%33%33%33%

Form: NK Varazdin: DLDWDWLWLWLD • HNK Rijeka: WDLLDDLDWDWL

League goals

Metric NK Varazdin HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
GF total86148917
GF avg1.31.01.21.31.51.4
GA total77147916
GA avg1.21.21.21.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%75%75%
1.542%25%42%50%
2.58%17%17%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score134213

Penalties

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Wins11
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-21-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-23-2
Goals For2343
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Rijeka
Form47%53%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : NK Varazdin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Varazdin = 1.41 (league 1.39), HNK Rijeka = 1.86 (league 0.97)

HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 3.8% 7.1% 6.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.3% 10.0% 9.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.8% 3.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 47.1%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1