HNL — Croatia
Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 17:00 • Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.44) 0.81 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 17.6% 11.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vukovar
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 4.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.4% 8.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK GoricaVukovar
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack70%40%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Gorica Vukovar
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins33%33%33%29%0%17%
Draws0%33%17%43%20%33%
Loses67%33%50%29%80%50%

Form: HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLLW • Vukovar: LLDDLLWLLDWD

League goals

Metric HNK Gorica Vukovar
HATHAT
GF total98179211
GF avg1.51.31.41.30.40.9
GA total1282091120
GA avg2.01.31.71.32.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK GoricaVukovar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%67%92%
1.542%42%17%50%
2.517%25%8%17%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK GoricaVukovar
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricHNK GoricaVukovar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHNK GoricaVukovar
Wins21
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-2—
Biggest losses1-32-01-24-0
Goals For4331
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricHNK GoricaVukovar
Form38%63%
Att64%36%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.7%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : HNK Gorica or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Gorica = 2.29 (league 1.44), Vukovar = 0.81 (league 0.99)

Vukovar
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 4.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.4% 8.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1