HNL — Croatia
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:00 • Opus Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.43) 0.95 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.6% 31.2% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Osijek 0 14.1% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK OsijekNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack22%33%
Defense44%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Osijek NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Played58137613
Wins20%13%15%43%17%31%
Draws40%25%31%29%50%38%
Loses40%63%54%29%33%31%

Form: NK Osijek: LDDLDWLWLLLDL • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDLLD

League goals

Metric NK Osijek NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total47118715
GF avg0.80.90.81.11.21.2
GA total4131781119
GA avg0.81.61.31.11.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK OsijekNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%62%92%85%
1.515%54%23%38%
2.58%8%0%15%
3.58%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK OsijekNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score426011

Penalties

MetricNK OsijekNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricNK OsijekNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Wins11
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-12-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-21-34-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricNK OsijekNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Form17%83%
Att40%60%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Osijek = 1.00 (league 1.43), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 0.95 (league 1.01)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Osijek 0 14.1% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 33.0%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1