HNL — Croatia
Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 17:00 • Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.44) 2.24 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.1% 18.9% 63.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.1%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 4.0% 9.0% 10.1% 7.5% 4.2% 1.9%
1 3.9% 8.8% 9.8% 7.3% 4.1% 1.8%
2 1.9% 4.3% 4.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack73%73%
Defense27%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Gorica Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Played86147714
Wins38%33%36%86%43%64%
Draws13%33%21%0%14%7%
Loses50%33%43%14%43%29%

Form: HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLLWDW • Dinamo Zagreb: WWWWDLWWLWLWLW

League goals

Metric HNK Gorica Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total11819181028
GF avg1.41.31.42.61.42.0
GA total138216713
GA avg1.61.31.50.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%93%93%64%
1.536%36%71%29%
2.514%21%29%0%
3.57%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets101235
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricHNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricHNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
Wins24
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-22-1
Goals For4342
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricHNK GoricaDinamo Zagreb
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dinamo Zagreb

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Unibet
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away1.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Unibet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Gorica = 0.97 (league 1.44), Dinamo Zagreb = 2.24 (league 1.00)

Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 4.0% 9.0% 10.1% 7.5% 4.2% 1.9%
1 3.9% 8.8% 9.8% 7.3% 4.1% 1.8%
2 1.9% 4.3% 4.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.1% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 63.3%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1