HNL — Croatia
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:30 • Stadion Poljud
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.43) 0.70 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 21.5% 13.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 7.7% 5.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.4% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack50%38%
Defense63%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Hajduk Split NK Varazdin
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%57%64%43%29%36%
Draws14%14%14%43%14%29%
Loses14%29%21%14%57%36%

Form: HNK Hajduk Split: WWWWDLLWWWWDWL • NK Varazdin: DLDWDWLWLWLDWL

League goals

Metric HNK Hajduk Split NK Varazdin
HATHAT
GF total139229716
GF avg1.91.31.61.31.01.1
GA total581371017
GA avg0.71.10.91.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%71%71%
1.564%29%36%29%
2.521%7%7%21%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
HATHAT
Clean sheets448314
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
Wins41
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-01-3
Biggest losses0-25-01-33-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin
Form59%41%
Att57%43%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ William Hill
Draw3.95 @ Unibet
Away6.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): HNK Hajduk Split = 1.86 (league 1.43), NK Varazdin = 0.70 (league 1.01)

NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 7.7% 5.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.4% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1