HNL — Croatia
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Maksimir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.44) 1.43 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 26.5% 44.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 8.2% 11.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Rijeka
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack45%100%
Defense18%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%14%29%43%14%29%
Draws29%57%43%29%43%36%
Loses29%29%29%29%43%36%

Form: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDLLDD • HNK Rijeka: WDLLDDLDWDWLLW

League goals

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
GF total881613922
GF avg1.11.11.11.91.31.6
GA total8122071017
GA avg1.11.71.41.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Rijeka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%86%71%71%
1.521%36%43%43%
2.50%14%21%7%
3.50%7%14%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Clean sheets202314
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Rijeka
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Rijeka
Wins11
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-25-01-3
Biggest losses1-34-10-23-2
Goals For2253
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Rijeka
Form30%70%
Att31%69%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total30.8%69.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Rijeka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ 10Bet
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.07 (league 1.44), HNK Rijeka = 1.43 (league 1.00)

HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 8.2% 11.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1