HNL — Croatia
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:30 • Opus Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.43) 0.56 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.5% 38.9% 23.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.2%
1 - 0
20.5%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Istra 1961
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Osijek 0 26.2% 14.6% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.5% 11.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK OsijekIstra 1961
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack38%46%
Defense31%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Osijek Istra 1961
HATHAT
Played69158715
Wins17%11%13%50%14%33%
Draws50%33%40%38%29%33%
Loses33%56%47%13%57%33%

Form: NK Osijek: LDDLDWLWLLLDLDD • Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWLWDWLD

League goals

Metric NK Osijek Istra 1961
HATHAT
GF total591410515
GF avg0.81.00.91.30.71.0
GA total5152091019
GA avg0.81.71.31.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK OsijekIstra 1961
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%67%73%80%
1.520%53%27%33%
2.57%7%0%13%
3.57%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK OsijekIstra 1961
HATHAT
Clean sheets325213
Failed to score426134

Penalties

MetricNK OsijekIstra 1961
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNK OsijekIstra 1961
Wins11
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-12-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-33-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricNK OsijekIstra 1961
Form27%73%
Att45%55%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h15%85%
Goals40%60%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Istra 1961

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): NK Osijek = 0.78 (league 1.43), Istra 1961 = 0.56 (league 1.01)

Istra 1961
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Osijek 0 26.2% 14.6% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.5% 11.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1