HNL — Croatia
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 • Gradski stadion Varazdin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.43) 1.09 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 25.4% 26.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack31%38%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Varazdin NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%25%33%38%14%27%
Draws43%25%33%38%57%47%
Loses14%50%33%25%29%27%

Form: NK Varazdin: DLDWDWLWLWLDWLD • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDLLDDD

League goals

Metric NK Varazdin NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total98179817
GF avg1.31.01.11.11.11.1
GA total7111891221
GA avg1.01.41.21.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%93%87%
1.533%27%20%33%
2.57%20%0%13%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets314202
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricNK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricNK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Wins11
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-11-2
Biggest losses1-33-11-34-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricNK VarazdinNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Form63%38%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total48.7%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : NK Varazdin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Betano
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Varazdin = 1.55 (league 1.43), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.09 (league 1.01)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.1% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1