HNL — Croatia
Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 15:00 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.43) 1.42 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.5% 25.8% 40.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 6.7% 9.6% 6.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.2% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.5% 7.8% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961HNK Rijeka
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense50%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%33%41%56%13%35%
Draws38%22%29%22%50%35%
Loses13%44%29%22%38%29%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWLWDWLDWW • HNK Rijeka: WDLLDDLDWDWLLWDWW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
GF total101323171027
GF avg1.31.41.41.91.31.6
GA total9122181119
GA avg1.11.31.20.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961HNK Rijeka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%82%76%71%
1.535%29%41%35%
2.512%12%24%6%
3.56%0%12%0%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Clean sheets213415
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961HNK Rijeka
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961HNK Rijeka
Wins11
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-55-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-23-2
Goals For2553
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961HNK Rijeka
Form50%50%
Att52%48%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total49.8%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Istra 1961 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 1xBet
Away2.20 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 1xBet
No1.87 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 1.27 (league 1.43), HNK Rijeka = 1.42 (league 1.01)

HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 6.7% 9.6% 6.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.2% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.5% 7.8% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 40.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1