HNL — Croatia
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 16:45 • Stadion Maksimir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.36 (league 1.43) 1.16 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.6% 11.8% 9.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.1%
3 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Zagreb 0 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.1% 7.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.9% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack63%32%
Defense68%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dinamo Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins75%56%65%33%13%24%
Draws13%11%12%33%50%41%
Loses13%33%24%33%38%35%

Form: Dinamo Zagreb: WWWWDLWWLWLWLWWDW • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDLLDDDLL

League goals

Metric Dinamo Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total191736101020
GF avg2.41.92.11.11.31.2
GA total7916121628
GA avg0.91.00.91.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%65%94%88%
1.571%29%24%41%
2.529%0%0%24%
3.512%0%0%12%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets246202
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Wins41
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-52-11-2
Biggest losses1-22-11-34-1
Goals For4522
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Form77%23%
Att67%33%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h50%50%
Goals61%39%
Total66.0%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : Dinamo Zagreb or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ Betano
Draw5.67 @ Pinnacle
Away9.90 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dinamo Zagreb = 3.36 (league 1.43), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.16 (league 1.01)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Zagreb 0 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.1% 7.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.9% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.6% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1