HNL — Croatia
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:45 • Stadion HNK Rijeka
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.43) 1.29 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 21.9% 24.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Rijeka 0 3.9% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.8% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK RijekaHNK Gorica
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack59%24%
Defense71%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Rijeka HNK Gorica
HATHAT
Played88169817
Wins50%13%31%33%25%29%
Draws25%50%38%11%38%24%
Loses25%38%31%56%38%47%

Form: HNK Rijeka: WDLLDDLDWDWLLWDW • HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLLWDWLLD

League goals

Metric HNK Rijeka HNK Gorica
HATHAT
GF total161026111021
GF avg2.01.31.61.21.31.2
GA total81119151126
GA avg1.01.41.21.71.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK RijekaHNK Gorica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%76%94%
1.544%38%29%41%
2.525%6%12%18%
3.513%0%6%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK RijekaHNK Gorica
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricHNK RijekaHNK Gorica
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricHNK RijekaHNK Gorica
Wins12
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-23-21-32-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricHNK RijekaHNK Gorica
Form58%42%
Att71%29%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals78%22%
Total69.7%30.3%

Advice: Double chance : HNK Rijeka or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 188Bet
Draw4.19 @ Pinnacle
Away6.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Rijeka = 1.96 (league 1.43), HNK Gorica = 1.29 (league 1.01)

HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Rijeka 0 3.9% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.8% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1