HNL — Croatia
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 15:00 • Gradski stadion Varazdin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.43) 1.42 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 24.3% 34.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Istra 1961
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 5.0% 7.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.9% 11.2% 8.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK VarazdinIstra 1961
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack33%43%
Defense62%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Varazdin Istra 1961
HATHAT
Played89178816
Wins50%22%35%50%25%38%
Draws38%22%29%38%25%31%
Loses13%56%35%13%50%31%

Form: NK Varazdin: DLDWDWLWLWLDWLDWL • Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWLWDWLDW

League goals

Metric NK Varazdin Istra 1961
HATHAT
GF total13821101020
GF avg1.60.91.21.31.31.3
GA total9132291120
GA avg1.11.41.31.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK VarazdinIstra 1961
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%75%81%
1.535%35%31%31%
2.512%18%6%13%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK VarazdinIstra 1961
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score145134

Penalties

MetricNK VarazdinIstra 1961
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricNK VarazdinIstra 1961
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-32-11-5
Biggest losses1-33-10-33-0
Goals For4325
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricNK VarazdinIstra 1961
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Istra 1961

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Betano
Away3.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Betano
Under 2.51.66 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Varazdin = 1.57 (league 1.43), Istra 1961 = 1.42 (league 1.01)

Istra 1961
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 5.0% 7.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.9% 11.2% 8.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 34.3%

Vtot 22 , Vtod1