HNL — Croatia
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 15:00 • Gradski stadion Varazdin
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.47) 1.43 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 25.0% 37.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 5.8% 8.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.2% 11.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.3% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Gorica
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack78%33%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Varazdin HNK Gorica
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%22%33%33%22%28%
Draws33%22%28%11%33%22%
Loses22%56%39%56%44%50%

Form: NK Varazdin: DLDWDWLWLWLDWLDWLL • HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLLWDWLLDL

League goals

Metric NK Varazdin HNK Gorica
HATHAT
GF total14822111021
GF avg1.60.91.21.21.11.2
GA total121325151227
GA avg1.31.41.41.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK VarazdinHNK Gorica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%72%94%
1.533%39%28%39%
2.511%22%11%17%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Gorica
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Gorica
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Gorica
Wins12
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-33-11-32-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Gorica
Form50%50%
Att70%30%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : NK Varazdin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away4.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Varazdin = 1.42 (league 1.47), HNK Gorica = 1.43 (league 1.00)

HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 5.8% 8.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.2% 11.8% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.3% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 37.4%

vtt 5 , vtd1