HNL — Croatia
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 17:00 • Stadion Maksimir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.48) 1.45 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.5% 26.4% 45.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 8.2% 11.8% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack60%40%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNK Gorica
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins40%10%25%36%22%30%
Draws30%50%40%9%33%20%
Loses30%40%35%55%44%50%

Form: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDLLDDDLLLWD • HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLLWDWLLDLLW

League goals

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNK Gorica
HATHAT
GF total121123131023
GF avg1.21.11.21.21.11.2
GA total131932171229
GA avg1.31.91.61.51.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%75%90%
1.525%40%25%40%
2.50%20%10%15%
3.50%10%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Wins12
Draws31
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-32-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away3.65 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.06 (league 1.48), HNK Gorica = 1.45 (league 0.99)

HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 8.2% 11.8% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 45.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1