HNL — Croatia
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:15 • Stadion Maksimir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.47) 0.77 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.7% 16.6% 10.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 0
10.2%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Zagreb 0 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%50%
Defense88%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dinamo Zagreb HNK Gorica
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins82%58%70%33%27%30%
Draws9%17%13%17%27%22%
Loses9%25%17%50%45%48%

Form: Dinamo Zagreb: WWWWDLWWLWLWLWWDWWWWDWW • HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLLWDWLLDLLWLDW

League goals

Metric Dinamo Zagreb HNK Gorica
HATHAT
GF total282452131225
GF avg2.52.02.31.11.11.1
GA total8917171532
GA avg0.70.80.71.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%52%70%83%
1.574%22%26%39%
2.539%0%9%17%
3.517%0%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711314
Failed to score022347

Penalties

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
Wins42
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-11-3
Biggest losses1-22-11-33-0
Goals For4543
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Gorica
Form65%35%
Att78%22%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total68.3%31.7%

Advice: Winner : Dinamo Zagreb

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 188Bet
Draw5.67 @ Pinnacle
Away10.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dinamo Zagreb = 2.38 (league 1.47), HNK Gorica = 0.77 (league 1.00)

HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Zagreb 0 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.7% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 10.2%

vtt 4 , vtd1