HNL — Croatia
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 16:45 • Gradski stadion Varazdin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.46) 2.00 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.8% 21.2% 58.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
10.0%
1 - 1
9.9%
0 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Hajduk Split
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 4.8% 9.7% 9.7% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
1 5.0% 9.9% 10.0% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack58%50%
Defense25%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Varazdin HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%33%39%67%55%61%
Draws27%17%22%17%18%17%
Loses27%50%39%17%27%22%

Form: NK Varazdin: DLDWDWLWLWLDWLDWLLWWWLL • HNK Hajduk Split: WWWWDLLWWWWDWLDDWWLLWWW

League goals

Metric NK Varazdin HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
GF total161329201535
GF avg1.51.11.31.71.41.5
GA total17173491120
GA avg1.51.41.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%78%78%52%
1.539%39%57%22%
2.59%26%17%4%
3.54%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256511
Failed to score246145

Penalties

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
Wins34
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-10-25-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against4325

Model comparison

MetricNK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total48.2%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : NK Varazdin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Varazdin = 1.03 (league 1.46), HNK Hajduk Split = 2.00 (league 1.05)

HNK Hajduk Split
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 4.8% 9.7% 9.7% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
1 5.0% 9.9% 10.0% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.8% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 58.3%

vtt 5 , vtd1