HNL — Croatia
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Stadion Poljud
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.48) 1.62 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.4% 24.8% 53.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 7.9% 12.8% 10.3% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.3% 11.8% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack40%100%
Defense87%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Hajduk Split Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins67%50%58%83%58%71%
Draws17%25%21%8%17%13%
Loses17%25%21%8%25%17%

Form: HNK Hajduk Split: WWWWDLLWWWWDWLDDWWLLWWWD • Dinamo Zagreb: WWWWDLWWLWLWLWWDWWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric HNK Hajduk Split Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total201636322456
GF avg1.71.31.52.72.02.3
GA total9122110919
GA avg0.81.00.90.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%54%92%54%
1.554%21%75%25%
2.517%4%42%0%
3.50%4%21%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets65114711
Failed to score145022

Penalties

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
Wins44
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-25-01-22-1
Goals For3345
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitDinamo Zagreb
Form43%57%
Att29%71%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dinamo Zagreb

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Betfair
No2.02 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Hajduk Split = 0.92 (league 1.48), Dinamo Zagreb = 1.62 (league 0.99)

Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 7.9% 12.8% 10.3% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.3% 11.8% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.4% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 53.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1