HNL — Croatia
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 17:00 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.46) 1.25 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 26.3% 34.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.0%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
NK Osijek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 7.4% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.5% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack23%38%
Defense15%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 NK Osijek
HATHAT
Played111324131124
Wins36%31%33%23%9%17%
Draws36%15%25%38%27%33%
Loses27%54%42%38%64%50%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWLWDWLDWWLWDLLLL • NK Osijek: LDDLDWLWLLLDLDDLDDLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 NK Osijek
HATHAT
GF total121729101121
GF avg1.11.31.20.81.00.9
GA total142135162036
GA avg1.31.61.51.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961NK Osijek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%63%67%
1.533%38%17%54%
2.58%17%4%17%
3.54%4%4%8%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
HATHAT
Clean sheets213628
Failed to score257729

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
Wins21
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-54-00-1
Biggest losses0-34-01-54-2
Goals For2542
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
Form14%86%
Att38%63%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total49.5%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NK Osijek

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 1.35 (league 1.46), NK Osijek = 1.25 (league 1.04)

NK Osijek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 7.4% 9.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.5% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 34.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1