HNL — Croatia
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:15 • Stadion Maksimir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.32 (league 1.46) 0.93 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.7% 10.6% 6.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.7%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
NK Slaven Belupo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Zagreb 0 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 7.3% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.7% 8.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.3% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack100%78%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dinamo Zagreb NK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins83%62%72%58%15%36%
Draws8%15%12%17%46%32%
Loses8%23%16%25%38%32%

Form: Dinamo Zagreb: WWWWDLWWLWLWLWWDWWWWDWWWW • NK Slaven Belupo: LWLLWWLLWDWDDWDWLDDLLWDWD

League goals

Metric Dinamo Zagreb NK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
GF total322759201535
GF avg2.72.12.41.71.21.4
GA total101020152338
GA avg0.80.80.81.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%56%76%84%
1.576%24%48%44%
2.544%0%12%12%
3.520%0%4%8%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711314
Failed to score022246

Penalties

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
Wins42
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-11-3
Biggest losses1-22-12-54-1
Goals For4543
Goals Against2254

Model comparison

MetricDinamo ZagrebNK Slaven Belupo
Form62%38%
Att68%32%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total74.8%25.2%

Advice: Winner : Dinamo Zagreb

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw5.90 @ Pinnacle
Away10.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.38 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dinamo Zagreb = 3.32 (league 1.46), NK Slaven Belupo = 0.93 (league 1.04)

NK Slaven Belupo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Zagreb 0 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 7.3% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.7% 8.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.3% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.7% · Draw 10.6% · Away win 6.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1