HNL — Croatia
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 • Stadion Poljud
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.47) 0.81 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 19.8% 13.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
11.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 5.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.6% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack54%54%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Hajduk Split NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins62%50%56%46%8%28%
Draws15%25%20%31%42%36%
Loses23%25%24%23%50%36%

Form: HNK Hajduk Split: WWWWDLLWWWWDWLDDWWLLWWWDL • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDLLDDDLLLWDWLWLD

League goals

Metric HNK Hajduk Split NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total211637191130
GF avg1.61.31.51.50.91.2
GA total121224152338
GA avg0.91.01.01.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%56%84%88%
1.552%24%28%40%
2.516%8%8%16%
3.50%4%0%8%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511303
Failed to score145044

Penalties

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total57

Streaks

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Wins41
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-35-01-34-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total62.8%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Hajduk Split = 2.07 (league 1.47), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 0.81 (league 0.99)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 5.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.6% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 13.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1