HNL — Croatia
Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 16:00 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.46) 1.97 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 20.2% 66.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 2
13.8%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Hajduk Split
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 7.1% 14.0% 13.8% 9.0% 4.4% 1.7%
1 4.8% 9.5% 9.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.6% 3.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack22%61%
Defense72%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%36%37%64%54%59%
Draws31%14%22%14%23%19%
Loses31%50%41%21%23%22%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWLWDWLDWWLWDLLLLLWW • HNK Hajduk Split: WWWWDLLWWWWDWLDDWWLLWWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
GF total141933232245
GF avg1.11.41.21.61.71.7
GA total162137131225
GA avg1.21.51.40.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%85%81%56%
1.537%33%56%22%
2.57%15%19%7%
3.54%4%4%4%
4.54%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
Clean sheets2246612
Failed to score358145

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Wins24
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-53-00-6
Biggest losses0-34-01-35-0
Goals For2536
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Form38%63%
Att27%73%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total39.2%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Hajduk Split

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away1.67 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 0.68 (league 1.46), HNK Hajduk Split = 1.97 (league 1.04)

HNK Hajduk Split
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 7.1% 14.0% 13.8% 9.0% 4.4% 1.7%
1 4.8% 9.5% 9.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.6% 3.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 66.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1