HNL — Croatia
Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 13:45 • Stadion Gradski vrt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.48) 1.46 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 22.8% 31.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vukovar 0 3.8% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.9% 10.1% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack13%33%
Defense13%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vukovar NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%0%15%43%8%26%
Draws38%21%30%29%38%33%
Loses31%79%56%29%54%41%

Form: Vukovar: LLDDLLWLLDWDDLDLWLLLWDDLLLL • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDLLDDDLLLWDWLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Vukovar NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total18826191231
GF avg1.40.61.01.40.91.1
GA total223052202545
GA avg1.72.11.91.41.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%89%81%89%
1.522%63%26%44%
2.57%22%7%19%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score369145

Penalties

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Wins11
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-01-2
Biggest losses0-64-00-54-1
Goals For3132
Goals Against6454

Model comparison

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Form20%80%
Att29%71%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h9%91%
Goals33%67%
Total32.5%67.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away2.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vukovar = 1.80 (league 1.48), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.46 (league 1.05)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vukovar 0 3.8% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.9% 10.1% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 31.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1