HNL — Croatia
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 16:30 • Stadion Poljud
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.48) 0.95 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 25.9% 23.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 8.5% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.2% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack76%53%
Defense65%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Hajduk Split HNK Gorica
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins64%57%61%36%21%29%
Draws14%21%18%21%36%29%
Loses21%21%21%43%43%43%

Form: HNK Hajduk Split: WWWWDLLWWWWDWLDDWWLLWWWDLWWW • HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLLWDWLLDLLWLDWLDDWD

League goals

Metric HNK Hajduk Split HNK Gorica
HATHAT
GF total232548191534
GF avg1.61.81.71.41.11.2
GA total131326192039
GA avg0.90.90.91.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%57%71%79%
1.557%21%32%39%
2.521%7%11%18%
3.54%4%7%4%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612426
Failed to score145358

Penalties

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
Wins42
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-64-01-3
Biggest losses1-35-01-33-0
Goals For3643
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
Form63%38%
Att59%41%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away5.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Unibet
No2.02 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Hajduk Split = 1.52 (league 1.48), HNK Gorica = 0.95 (league 1.05)

HNK Gorica
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 8.5% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.2% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 23.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1