Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 16:00 •
Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.40)
1.66 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.0% | 23.8% | 43.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Istra 1961 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HNK Gorica | 0 | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 78% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Draws | 20% | 31% | 26% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Loses | 47% | 44% | 45% | 44% | 53% | 48% |
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Istra 1961LDDLWLWDWLWDWLDWWLWDLLLLLWWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 17 | 36 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 21 | 22 | 43 | 23 | 23 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 81% | 68% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 39% | 32% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 16% | 6% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away3.91 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
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