1. SNL — Slovenia
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 15:30 • Športni Park Aluminij
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.68) 1.82 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.7% 20.5% 70.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.4%
0 - 2
17.7%
0 - 3
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Maribor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aluminij 0 10.7% 19.4% 17.7% 10.7% 4.9% 1.8%
1 4.5% 8.1% 7.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAluminijMaribor
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack42%58%
Defense58%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aluminij Maribor
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins33%60%50%40%67%50%
Draws0%20%13%40%0%25%
Loses67%20%38%20%33%25%

Form: Aluminij: WLDWLWWL • Maribor: LWDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Aluminij Maribor
HATHAT
GF total381112416
GF avg1.01.61.42.41.32.0
GA total67138210
GA avg2.01.41.61.60.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAluminijMaribor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%88%75%
1.550%38%63%38%
2.50%38%25%13%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAluminijMaribor
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricAluminijMaribor
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAluminijMaribor
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-25-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-11-21-0
Goals For2252
Goals Against3431

Model comparison

MetricAluminijMaribor
Form47%53%
Att42%58%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h20%80%
Goals8%92%
Total29.2%70.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maribor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.17 @ Pinnacle
Away1.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betano
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aluminij = 0.42 (league 1.68), Maribor = 1.82 (league 1.43)

Maribor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aluminij 0 10.7% 19.4% 17.7% 10.7% 4.9% 1.8%
1 4.5% 8.1% 7.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.7% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 70.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1