Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 15:30 • Športni Park Aluminij
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.67) 1.29 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.1% 24.8% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Radomlje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aluminij 0 5.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.1% 11.7% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAluminijRadomlje
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack47%41%
Defense41%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aluminij Radomlje
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%60%44%60%25%44%
Draws0%20%11%0%25%11%
Loses75%20%44%40%50%44%

Form: Aluminij: WLDWLWWLL • Radomlje: LLWWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Aluminij Radomlje
HATHAT
GF total58139312
GF avg1.31.61.41.80.81.3
GA total971611819
GA avg2.31.41.82.22.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAluminijRadomlje
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%67%78%
1.556%44%44%56%
2.50%44%22%22%
3.50%11%0%22%
4.50%0%0%22%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAluminijRadomlje
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricAluminijRadomlje
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAluminijRadomlje
Wins23
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-34-10-65-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against3465

Model comparison

MetricAluminijRadomlje
Form46%54%
Att53%47%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Aluminij or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Bet365
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aluminij = 1.55 (league 1.67), Radomlje = 1.29 (league 1.43)

Radomlje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aluminij 0 5.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.1% 11.7% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 31.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1