Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:15 • Stadion Z'dežele
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.67) 0.38 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.3% 20.6% 7.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Maribor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 11.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 7.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCeljeMaribor
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%80%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celje Maribor
HATHAT
Played369549
Wins100%83%89%40%75%56%
Draws0%17%11%40%0%22%
Loses0%0%0%20%25%22%

Form: Celje: WWWWWWWDW • Maribor: LWDWDWLWW

League goals

Metric Celje Maribor
HATHAT
GF total9213012719
GF avg3.03.53.32.41.82.1
GA total1898412
GA avg0.31.31.01.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCeljeMaribor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%56%89%78%
1.5100%33%67%44%
2.578%11%33%11%
3.533%0%11%0%
4.522%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCeljeMaribor
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricCeljeMaribor
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCeljeMaribor
Wins71
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-55-10-2
Biggest losses1-21-0
Goals For4553
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricCeljeMaribor
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Celje or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ 188Bet
Draw4.69 @ Pinnacle
Away5.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celje = 1.79 (league 1.67), Maribor = 0.38 (league 1.43)

Maribor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 11.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 7.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.0% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.3% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 7.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1