1. SNL — Slovenia
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:15 • Ljudski vrt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.71 (league 1.68) 0.90 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.6% 8.3% 4.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.5%
4 - 0
7.9%
3 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
NK Domzale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maribor 0 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 6.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 7.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.9% 7.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.9% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMariborNK Domzale
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack64%29%
Defense50%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maribor NK Domzale
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%60%50%20%0%10%
Draws40%0%20%0%20%10%
Loses20%40%30%80%80%80%

Form: Maribor: LWDWDWLWWL • NK Domzale: LLLLLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Maribor NK Domzale
HATHAT
GF total12719448
GF avg2.41.41.90.80.80.8
GA total8715101323
GA avg1.61.41.52.02.62.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMariborNK Domzale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%70%90%
1.560%50%10%80%
2.530%20%0%50%
3.510%0%0%10%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMariborNK Domzale
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricMariborNK Domzale
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMariborNK Domzale
Wins20
Draws11
Losses17

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-21-0—
Biggest losses1-23-01-34-1
Goals For5312
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricMariborNK Domzale
Form69%31%
Att69%31%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total72.2%27.8%

Advice: Winner : Maribor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ William Hill
Draw5.40 @ 188Bet
Away7.80 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Maribor = 3.71 (league 1.68), NK Domzale = 0.90 (league 1.43)

NK Domzale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maribor 0 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 6.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 7.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.9% 7.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.9% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 4.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1