1. SNL — Slovenia
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:15 • Stadion Stožice
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.69) 2.25 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 17.1% 70.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.7%
0 - 1
12.2%
0 - 3
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aluminij
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olimpija Ljubljana 0 5.4% 12.2% 13.7% 10.3% 5.8% 2.6%
1 3.6% 8.1% 9.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.7%
2 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaAluminij
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack47%53%
Defense60%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olimpija Ljubljana Aluminij
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%60%50%40%60%50%
Draws0%20%10%0%20%10%
Loses60%20%40%60%20%40%

Form: Olimpija Ljubljana: WWLWLDWLLW • Aluminij: WLDWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Olimpija Ljubljana Aluminij
HATHAT
GF total411157815
GF avg0.82.21.51.41.61.5
GA total1051510717
GA avg2.01.01.52.01.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlimpija LjubljanaAluminij
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%90%80%
1.540%40%60%40%
2.520%30%0%40%
3.50%10%0%10%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaAluminij
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaAluminij
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaAluminij
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-53-20-34-1
Goals For1322
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaAluminij
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h93%7%
Goals81%19%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Olimpija Ljubljana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ 10Bet
Draw5.08 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Olimpija Ljubljana = 0.66 (league 1.69), Aluminij = 2.25 (league 1.42)

Aluminij
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olimpija Ljubljana 0 5.4% 12.2% 13.7% 10.3% 5.8% 2.6%
1 3.6% 8.1% 9.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.7%
2 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 70.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1