Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 15:30 • Sportni park Aluminij
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.67) 0.28 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.4% 24.6% 6.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.3%
2 - 0
19.0%
0 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aluminij 0 16.8% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.0% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.5% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAluminijMura
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack54%23%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aluminij Mura
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%50%45%17%0%9%
Draws0%33%18%67%0%36%
Loses60%17%36%17%100%55%

Form: Aluminij: WLDWLWWLLWD • Mura: LLDLWLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Aluminij Mura
HATHAT
GF total7916718
GF avg1.41.51.51.20.20.7
GA total108186915
GA avg2.01.31.61.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAluminijMura
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%82%45%82%
1.555%36%18%45%
2.50%36%9%9%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAluminijMura
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score101246

Penalties

MetricAluminijMura
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAluminijMura
Wins21
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-0
Biggest losses0-34-10-23-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricAluminijMura
Form70%30%
Att70%30%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Aluminij or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Aluminij = 1.51 (league 1.67), Mura = 0.28 (league 1.43)

Mura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aluminij 0 16.8% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.0% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.5% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1