1. SNL — Slovenia
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 16:30 • Stadion Z'dežele
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.66) 0.22 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.3% 17.9% 3.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
21.7%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Aluminij
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 12.4% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.7% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCeljeAluminij
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack59%47%
Defense76%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celje Aluminij
HATHAT
Played58137613
Wins80%75%77%29%50%38%
Draws20%13%15%14%33%23%
Loses0%13%8%57%17%38%

Form: Celje: WWWWWWWDWWWDL • Aluminij: WLDWLWWLLWDDL

League goals

Metric Celje Aluminij
HATHAT
GF total12253710919
GF avg2.43.12.81.41.51.5
GA total1101115823
GA avg0.21.30.82.11.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCeljeAluminij
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%46%92%85%
1.585%31%54%46%
2.569%8%0%38%
3.523%0%0%8%
4.515%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCeljeAluminij
HATHAT
Clean sheets437112
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricCeljeAluminij
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricCeljeAluminij
Wins72
Draws12
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-52-10-2
Biggest losses—2-10-34-1
Goals For4522
Goals Against1334

Model comparison

MetricCeljeAluminij
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Double chance : Celje or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ Bet365
Draw7.47 @ Pinnacle
Away10.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celje = 1.88 (league 1.66), Aluminij = 0.22 (league 1.40)

Aluminij
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 12.4% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.7% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.3% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 3.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1