1. SNL — Slovenia
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:00 • Ljudski vrt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.66) 1.26 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.4% 25.5% 32.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Olimpija Ljubljana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maribor 0 6.6% 8.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.6% 12.1% 7.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 8.8% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMariborOlimpija Ljubljana
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack85%31%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maribor Olimpija Ljubljana
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%50%53%38%43%40%
Draws29%13%20%13%29%20%
Loses14%38%27%50%29%40%

Form: Maribor: LWDWDWLWWLWLWWD • Olimpija Ljubljana: WWLWLDWLLWDDLLW

League goals

Metric Maribor Olimpija Ljubljana
HATHAT
GF total19113081119
GF avg2.71.42.01.01.61.3
GA total8111913619
GA avg1.11.41.31.60.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMariborOlimpija Ljubljana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%73%80%60%
1.560%40%33%33%
2.540%13%13%20%
3.513%0%0%7%
4.57%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMariborOlimpija Ljubljana
HATHAT
Clean sheets314336
Failed to score033123

Penalties

MetricMariborOlimpija Ljubljana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMariborOlimpija Ljubljana
Wins22
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-00-53-2
Goals For5323
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricMariborOlimpija Ljubljana
Form67%33%
Att73%27%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Maribor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.92 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.18 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maribor = 1.46 (league 1.66), Olimpija Ljubljana = 1.26 (league 1.40)

Olimpija Ljubljana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maribor 0 6.6% 8.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.6% 12.1% 7.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 8.8% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.4% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 32.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1