Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:30 • Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.66) 1.23 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.5% 20.3% 20.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Mura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Primorje 0 3.4% 4.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPrimorjeMura
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack23%85%
Defense8%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Primorje Mura
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%0%20%38%0%20%
Draws13%14%13%50%29%40%
Loses50%86%67%13%71%40%

Form: Primorje: WLLLLDDWLLWLLLL • Mura: LLDLWLDLDLDDWDW

League goals

Metric Primorje Mura
HATHAT
GF total1431712618
GF avg1.80.41.11.50.91.2
GA total15173291423
GA avg1.92.42.11.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePrimorjeMura
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%60%87%
1.533%73%40%53%
2.513%33%20%13%
3.57%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPrimorjeMura
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score156246

Penalties

MetricPrimorjeMura
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPrimorjeMura
Wins11
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-13-0
Biggest losses1-34-00-23-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricPrimorjeMura
Form25%75%
Att21%79%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mura

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ SBO
Under 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.19 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Primorje = 2.17 (league 1.66), Mura = 1.23 (league 1.40)

Mura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Primorje 0 3.4% 4.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.5% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 20.7%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1