1. SNL — Slovenia
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 • Mestni stadion Fazanerija
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.66) 1.10 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 27.8% 32.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Maribor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mura 0 9.4% 10.4% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.1% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.3% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMuraMaribor
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mura Maribor
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%0%19%50%50%50%
Draws50%25%38%38%13%25%
Loses13%75%44%13%38%25%

Form: Mura: LLDLWLDLDLDDWDWL • Maribor: LWDWDWLWWLWLWWDD

League goals

Metric Mura Maribor
HATHAT
GF total12618201131
GF avg1.50.81.12.51.41.9
GA total9152491120
GA avg1.11.91.51.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMuraMaribor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%88%81%75%
1.538%50%56%38%
2.519%13%38%13%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMuraMaribor
HATHAT
Clean sheets202314
Failed to score257033

Penalties

MetricMuraMaribor
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMuraMaribor
Wins12
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—5-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-23-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricMuraMaribor
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maribor

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away1.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Unibet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mura = 1.26 (league 1.66), Maribor = 1.10 (league 1.40)

Maribor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mura 0 9.4% 10.4% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.1% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.3% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 32.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1