1. SNL — Slovenia
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • Ljudski vrt
Match Finished
3 - 3
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.69) 2.78 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 17.0% 56.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.8%
1 - 3
7.3%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Celje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maribor 0 1.3% 3.6% 5.0% 4.7% 3.2% 1.8%
1 2.0% 5.6% 7.8% 7.3% 5.1% 2.8%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.1% 5.7% 4.0% 2.2%
3 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMariborCelje
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack40%45%
Defense65%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maribor Celje
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%56%50%67%78%72%
Draws33%11%22%33%11%22%
Loses22%33%28%0%11%6%

Form: Maribor: LWDWDWLWWLWLWWDDWL • Celje: WWWWWWWDWWWDLWDWDW

League goals

Metric Maribor Celje
HATHAT
GF total221234192746
GF avg2.41.31.92.13.02.6
GA total12112341014
GA avg1.31.21.30.41.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMariborCelje
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%72%89%50%
1.556%39%78%22%
2.533%17%56%6%
3.511%0%22%0%
4.56%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMariborCelje
HATHAT
Clean sheets325549
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricMariborCelje
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMariborCelje
Wins27
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-24-10-5
Biggest losses2-33-0—2-1
Goals For5345
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricMariborCelje
Form42%58%
Att47%53%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Celje

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maribor = 1.56 (league 1.69), Celje = 2.78 (league 1.40)

Celje
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maribor 0 1.3% 3.6% 5.0% 4.7% 3.2% 1.8%
1 2.0% 5.6% 7.8% 7.3% 5.1% 2.8%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.1% 5.7% 4.0% 2.2%
3 0.8% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 56.8%

vtt 11 , vtd1