1. SNL — Slovenia
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:30 • Ljudski vrt
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.70) 0.75 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.7% 11.7% 6.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
3 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maribor 0 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.8% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMariborMura
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack47%35%
Defense88%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maribor Mura
HATHAT
Played131124111324
Wins46%55%50%36%8%21%
Draws38%18%29%36%15%25%
Loses15%27%21%27%77%54%

Form: Maribor: LWDWDWLWWLWLWWDDWLDWWWDD • Mura: LLDLWLDLDLDDWDWLLLLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Maribor Mura
HATHAT
GF total311445151025
GF avg2.41.31.91.40.81.0
GA total171128142741
GA avg1.31.01.21.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMariborMura
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%63%54%88%
1.563%38%33%50%
2.529%17%17%25%
3.58%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMariborMura
HATHAT
Clean sheets549213
Failed to score0444711

Penalties

MetricMariborMura
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricMariborMura
Wins31
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses2-33-00-35-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricMariborMura
Form65%35%
Att57%43%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h93%7%
Goals78%22%
Total76.7%23.3%

Advice: Winner : Maribor

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.02 @ Pinnacle
Away8.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maribor = 2.97 (league 1.70), Mura = 0.75 (league 1.38)

Mura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maribor 0 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 7.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.8% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.7% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 6.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1