Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadion Stožice
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.68)
1.53 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.5% | 24.9% | 41.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
9.0%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Aluminij | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 0 | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 42% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Aluminij | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 43% | 46% | 44% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Draws | 21% | 31% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 19% |
| Loses | 36% | 23% | 30% | 50% | 46% | 48% |
Form: Olimpija Ljubljana: WWLWLDWLLWDDLLWDWLWWWDWDWLD • Aluminij: WLDWLWWLLWDDLLWLDWLLWLWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Aluminij | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 19 | 37 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 20 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 22 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olimpija Ljubljana | Aluminij | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 63% | 89% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 30% | 44% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 15% | 11% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Aluminij | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 88% | 12% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Olimpija Ljubljana or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Olimpija Ljubljana = 1.32 (league 1.68), Aluminij = 1.53 (league 1.37)
| Aluminij | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 0 | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 41.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1