Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Stadion Jožky Silného
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.41)
1.15 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.2% | 29.3% | 38.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Chrudim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hanácká | 0 | 11.2% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Hanácká carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hanácká -1.0, Chrudim -4.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Hanácká
vs
Chrudim
Elo gapHanácká +23
Home / draw / away38% / 27% / 35%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo3091.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3091.2
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Hanácká | Chrudim |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1539.7 | 1551.5 |
| Form Elo | 1535.4 | 1536 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1512.4 | 1496.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1629.9 | 1570.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1566.1 | 1528.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.0 | -4.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Hanácká last-5 Elo change: -1.0; Chrudim last-5 Elo change: -4.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hanácká | Chrudim |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 38% | 69% |
| Defense | 69% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hanácká | Chrudim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 8% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 58% | 67% | 63% | 42% | 50% | 46% |
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ChrudimLWLDDLLDDDWWLDLDLLWWLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Hanácká | Chrudim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 23 | 38 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hanácká | Chrudim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 71% | 63% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 50% | 33% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 21% | 17% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hanácká | Chrudim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hanácká | Chrudim |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hanácká | Chrudim |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 6-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hanácká | Chrudim |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away3.64 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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