Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 •
Simply Arena
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.40)
0.96 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
7.9%
4 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Hanácká | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Opava | 0 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Opava carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 53 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Opava -20.5, Hanácká -5.4.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Opava
vs
Hanácká
Elo gapOpava +53
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo3116.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3116.7
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Opava | Hanácká |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1567.4 | 1549.3 |
| Form Elo | 1561.7 | 1552.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1541.8 | 1513.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1614.2 | 1623.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1638.3 | 1575.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -20.5 | -5.4 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Opava last-5 Elo change: -20.5; Hanácká last-5 Elo change: -5.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Opava | Hanácká |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 40% |
| Defense | 40% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Opava | Hanácká | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 23% | 44% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Draws | 25% | 46% | 36% | 15% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 8% | 31% | 20% | 54% | 67% | 60% |
OpavaWWDWDDWWDWLDDDWDWWLWLWLLD
HanáckáLLLLLLLLLWLWWDLLWLWWLWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Opava | Hanácká | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 8 | 39 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 15 | 23 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Opava | Hanácká | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 56% | 68% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 8% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Opava | Hanácká | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Opava | Hanácká |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Opava | Hanácká |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 9 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Opava | Hanácká |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.65 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 1xBet
Away4.74 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
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