Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Arnosta Kostala
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.36) 1.05 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 32.5% 42.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
16.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Baník Ostrava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pardubice 0 16.8% 17.6% 9.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPardubiceBaník Ostrava
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack45%18%
Defense27%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pardubice Baník Ostrava
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%0%0%20%0%11%
Draws50%40%44%20%50%33%
Loses50%60%56%60%50%56%

Form: Pardubice: LLLDLDLDD • Baník Ostrava: LDLWLLDDL

League goals

Metric Pardubice Baník Ostrava
HATHAT
GF total459426
GF avg1.01.01.00.80.50.7
GA total109198412
GA avg2.51.82.11.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePardubiceBaník Ostrava
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%56%89%
1.511%56%11%33%
2.50%44%0%11%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPardubiceBaník Ostrava
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricPardubiceBaník Ostrava
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPardubiceBaník Ostrava
Wins01
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses1-53-10-31-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against5331

Model comparison

MetricPardubiceBaník Ostrava
Form60%40%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Double chance : Pardubice or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Betano
Under 2.52.10 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pardubice = 0.74 (league 1.36), Baník Ostrava = 1.05 (league 1.19)

Baník Ostrava
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pardubice 0 16.8% 17.6% 9.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.4% 13.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1