Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Arnosta Kostala
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.36) 2.95 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.9% 13.1% 70.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
8.9%
0 - 3
8.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Karviná
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pardubice 0 2.0% 6.0% 8.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.8%
1 1.9% 5.7% 8.4% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6%
2 0.9% 2.7% 3.9% 3.9% 2.9% 1.7%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPardubiceKarviná
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack44%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pardubice Karviná
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%0%0%40%60%50%
Draws40%40%40%0%0%0%
Loses60%60%60%60%40%50%

Form: Pardubice: LLLDLDLDDL • Karviná: WWLWLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Pardubice Karviná
HATHAT
GF total4598816
GF avg0.81.00.91.61.61.6
GA total119206814
GA avg2.21.82.01.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePardubiceKarviná
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%90%90%
1.510%50%50%40%
2.50%40%10%10%
3.50%10%10%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPardubiceKarviná
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricPardubiceKarviná
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPardubiceKarviná
Wins02
Draws20
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-2
Biggest losses1-53-11-23-1
Goals For1242
Goals Against5323

Model comparison

MetricPardubiceKarviná
Form33%67%
Att31%69%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h60%40%
Goals75%25%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : Pardubice or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Betano
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pardubice = 0.94 (league 1.36), Karviná = 2.95 (league 1.19)

Karviná
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pardubice 0 2.0% 6.0% 8.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.8%
1 1.9% 5.7% 8.4% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6%
2 0.9% 2.7% 3.9% 3.9% 2.9% 1.7%
3 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.9% · Draw 13.1% · Away win 70.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1