Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Arnosta Kostala
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.40) 2.93 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.0% 16.7% 53.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
6.9%
1 - 3
6.7%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mlada Boleslav
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pardubice 0 0.9% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 2.8% 1.6%
1 1.6% 4.7% 6.9% 6.7% 4.9% 2.9%
2 1.4% 4.2% 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.6%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.6% 2.6% 1.5%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPardubiceMlada Boleslav
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack42%42%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pardubice Mlada Boleslav
HATHAT
Played65116410
Wins17%0%9%17%25%20%
Draws33%40%36%50%0%30%
Loses50%60%55%33%75%50%

Form: Pardubice: LLLDLDLDDLW • Mlada Boleslav: DLLWLLWDLD

League goals

Metric Pardubice Mlada Boleslav
HATHAT
GF total65118715
GF avg1.01.01.01.31.81.5
GA total12921141024
GA avg2.01.81.92.32.52.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePardubiceMlada Boleslav
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%91%70%90%
1.518%45%50%80%
2.50%36%30%50%
3.50%9%0%10%
4.50%9%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPardubiceMlada Boleslav
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricPardubiceMlada Boleslav
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricPardubiceMlada Boleslav
Wins01
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-22-3
Biggest losses1-53-10-52-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against5353

Model comparison

MetricPardubiceMlada Boleslav
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mlada Boleslav

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Bet365
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pardubice = 1.78 (league 1.40), Mlada Boleslav = 2.93 (league 1.23)

Mlada Boleslav
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pardubice 0 0.9% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 2.8% 1.6%
1 1.6% 4.7% 6.9% 6.7% 4.9% 2.9%
2 1.4% 4.2% 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.6%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.6% 2.6% 1.5%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 53.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1