Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:30 • Town Stadium Karvina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.39) 1.66 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.8% 24.2% 58.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Praha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karviná 0 8.9% 14.8% 12.3% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.8% 11.2% 9.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.6% 4.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKarvináSparta Praha
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack56%50%
Defense50%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Karviná Sparta Praha
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%57%46%86%50%69%
Draws17%0%8%14%33%23%
Loses50%43%46%0%17%8%

Form: Karviná: WWLWLLWLLWLDW • Sparta Praha: DWWWWWWLWWDDW

League goals

Metric Karviná Sparta Praha
HATHAT
GF total91322151025
GF avg1.51.91.72.11.71.9
GA total712198412
GA avg1.21.71.51.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKarvináSparta Praha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%92%92%69%
1.546%46%62%23%
2.515%8%38%0%
3.515%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKarvináSparta Praha
HATHAT
Clean sheets101134
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricKarvináSparta Praha
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricKarvináSparta Praha
Wins26
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-43-10-3
Biggest losses1-23-12-1
Goals For4433
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricKarvináSparta Praha
Form39%61%
Att53%47%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total35.6%64.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sparta Praha

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.25 @ Pinnacle
Away1.57 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Karviná = 0.76 (league 1.39), Sparta Praha = 1.66 (league 1.23)

Sparta Praha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karviná 0 8.9% 14.8% 12.3% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.8% 11.2% 9.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.6% 4.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 58.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1