Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 17:30 • epet ARENA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.40) 1.06 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 14.5% 11.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Pardubice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.7% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta PrahaPardubice
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack47%33%
Defense60%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Praha Pardubice
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins75%50%63%22%0%13%
Draws25%25%25%33%43%38%
Loses0%25%13%44%57%50%

Form: Sparta Praha: DWWWWWWLWWDDWLDW • Pardubice: LLLDLDLDDLWWDDLL

League goals

Metric Sparta Praha Pardubice
HATHAT
GF total1713309716
GF avg2.11.61.91.01.01.0
GA total10717181331
GA avg1.30.91.12.01.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta PrahaPardubice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%75%75%94%
1.563%31%25%50%
2.531%0%0%31%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta PrahaPardubice
HATHAT
Clean sheets134011
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricSparta PrahaPardubice
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSparta PrahaPardubice
Wins62
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-1—
Biggest losses—2-11-53-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2253

Model comparison

MetricSparta PrahaPardubice
Form62%38%
Att58%42%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h100%0%
Goals70%30%
Total65.6%34.6%

Advice: Winner : Sparta Praha

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.19 @ Betano
Draw7.52 @ Pinnacle
Away15.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Praha = 2.85 (league 1.40), Pardubice = 1.06 (league 1.23)

Pardubice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.7% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 11.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1