Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadion Strelnice
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.40)
1.29 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.5% | 22.3% | 25.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Karviná | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Jablonec | 0 | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FK Jablonec | Karviná |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 88% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FK Jablonec | Karviná | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 45% | 64% | 55% | 36% | 55% | 45% |
| Draws | 45% | 9% | 27% | 18% | 0% | 9% |
| Loses | 9% | 27% | 18% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
FK JablonecDDWWDWWWWWLDWLWDLWLWDW
KarvináWWLWLLWLLWLDWWLWWDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | FK Jablonec | Karviná | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FK Jablonec | Karviná | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 45% | 77% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 27% | 45% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 23% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 14% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FK Jablonec | Karviná | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | FK Jablonec | Karviná |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | FK Jablonec | Karviná |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FK Jablonec | Karviná |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away3.53 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.82 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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