Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Fortuna Arena
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.40)
0.56 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1% | 13.3% | 5.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Sigma Olomouc | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Slavia Praha | 0 | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Slavia Praha carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 176 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Slavia Praha +13.2, Sigma Olomouc -5.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Slavia Praha
vs
Sigma Olomouc
Elo gapSlavia Praha +176
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3230.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3230.9
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Slavia Praha | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1685.8 | 1545.1 |
| Form Elo | 1703.5 | 1547.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1599.5 | 1498.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1725.7 | 1486.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1627.1 | 1551 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +13.2 | -5.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Slavia Praha last-5 Elo change: +13.2; Sigma Olomouc last-5 Elo change: -5.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Slavia Praha | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 56% | 56% |
| Defense | 75% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Slavia Praha | Sigma Olomouc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 79% | 60% | 69% | 53% | 29% | 41% |
| Draws | 21% | 33% | 28% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Loses | 0% | 7% | 3% | 20% | 50% | 34% |
Slavia PrahaDWWWDWWWDWDDDWWWWWWDWWWWWWWDL
Sigma OlomoucWDWLWLWLDDWDDWWDLLLWLLWWWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Slavia Praha | Sigma Olomouc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 28 | 61 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 11 | 21 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Slavia Praha | Sigma Olomouc | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 55% | 66% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 66% | 14% | 38% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 3% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Slavia Praha | Sigma Olomouc | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Slavia Praha | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 9 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 9 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Slavia Praha | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 3-5 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Slavia Praha | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.38 @ Dafabet
Draw5.04 @ Pinnacle
Away8.70 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.18 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.80 @ William Hill
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League standings
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