Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
AGC Arena Na Stinadlech
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.40)
1.30 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 27.3% | 39.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Hradec Králové | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Teplice | 0 | 8.7% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Hradec Králové carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 94 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Teplice -11.2, Hradec Králové +22.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Teplice
vs
Hradec Králové
Elo gapHradec Králové +94
Home / draw / away30% / 19% / 51%
Expected home share37%
Combined Elo3126.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3126.2
Elo home share
37%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Teplice | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1498.6 | 1627.6 |
| Form Elo | 1490 | 1641.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1478.5 | 1555.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1469.8 | 1618.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1572 | 1614 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -11.2 | +22.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Teplice last-5 Elo change: -11.2; Hradec Králové last-5 Elo change: +22.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Teplice | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Attack | 31% | 50% |
| Defense | 56% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Teplice | Hradec Králové | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 13% | 21% | 53% | 36% | 45% |
| Draws | 21% | 53% | 38% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 41% | 20% | 43% | 31% |
TepliceLWLLLLLDDDWDDLDWWLWLWDLDDDDLL
Hradec KrálovéDLLDLWDWWLDWDWWLWLDLWLDWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Teplice | Hradec Králové | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 22 | 20 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 16 | 21 | 37 | 12 | 22 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Teplice | Hradec Králové | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 66% | 76% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 38% | 48% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Teplice | Hradec Králové | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Teplice | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Teplice | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Teplice | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.00 @ Dafabet
Draw3.20 @ Betfair
Away2.65 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.87 @ Betano
📊
League standings
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