Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 16:30 • epet ARENA
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.12 (league 1.44) 1.97 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.4% 16.1% 21.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.1%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Karviná
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.9% 3.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
2 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.4% 4.8% 4.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
5 1.5% 3.0% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta PrahaKarviná
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack68%21%
Defense63%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Praha Karviná
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins69%54%62%31%46%38%
Draws23%23%23%15%8%12%
Loses8%23%15%54%46%50%

Form: Sparta Praha: DWWWWWWLWWDDWLDWLWDWWWDWLW • Karviná: WWLWLLWLLWLDWWLWWDWLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Sparta Praha Karviná
HATHAT
GF total332154172138
GF avg2.51.62.11.31.61.5
GA total201030202444
GA avg1.50.81.21.51.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta PrahaKarviná
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%65%73%88%
1.565%38%42%54%
2.535%8%19%15%
3.58%4%12%4%
4.58%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta PrahaKarviná
HATHAT
Clean sheets279213
Failed to score022437

Penalties

MetricSparta PrahaKarviná
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total75

Streaks

MetricSparta PrahaKarviná
Wins62
Draws21
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-34-10-3
Biggest losses2-43-11-36-0
Goals For5344
Goals Against4336

Model comparison

MetricSparta PrahaKarviná
Form91%9%
Att76%24%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h80%20%
Goals70%30%
Total73.0%27.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sparta Praha or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ Dafabet
Draw5.44 @ Pinnacle
Away8.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betano
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Praha = 3.12 (league 1.44), Karviná = 1.97 (league 1.22)

Karviná
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Praha 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.9% 3.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
2 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.1% 6.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.4% 4.8% 4.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
5 1.5% 3.0% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 21.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1